Fact #688: August 15, 2011 All Sectors' Petroleum Gap

Before 1989 the U.S. produced enough petroleum to meet the needs of the transportation sector, but was still short of meeting the petroleum needs of all the sectors, including industrial, residential and commercial, and electric utilities. In 1973 the gap between what the U.S. produced and what was consumed was 5.6 million barrels per day. By 2035, the gap is expected to be at least 9.6 million barrels per day if all sources of petroleum are included or 12.7 million barrels per day if only conventional petroleum sources are used.

U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption, 1970-2035

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Notes:

The U.S. Production has two lines after 2005. The solid line is conventional sources of petroleum. The dashed line adds in other non-petroleum sources, including ethanol, biomass, liquids from coal, other blending components, other hydrocarbons, and ethers.
Between 2009 and 2010 the data change from historical to projected values.
The sharp increase in transportation value between 2006 and 2007 is due to the Federal Highway Administration methodology change in heavy truck fuel use.

Supporting Information

**Historical and Future U.S. Petroleum Production and Petroleum Use (Million barrels per day)**
Year	Transportation	Industrial	Residential and Commercial	Electric Utilities	Total	U.S. Petroleum Production with Other Inputs 2007-on (dotted line)	U.S. Petroleum Production without Other Inputs 2007-on
1973	8.78	4.48	2.23	1.54	17.04	11.40	11.40
1973	8.78	4.48	2.23	1.54	17.03	11.40	11.40
1974	8.43	4.30	2.04	1.48	16.24	10.94	10.94
1975	8.55	4.04	1.95	1.39	15.92	10.47	10.47
1976	9.06	4.46	2.13	1.52	17.17	10.24	10.24
1977	9.36	4.82	2.14	1.71	18.03	10.39	10.39
1978	9.80	4.87	2.07	1.75	18.49	10.77	10.77
1979	9.60	5.34	1.73	1.44	18.11	10.66	10.66
1980	9.26	4.86	1.52	1.15	16.79	10.80	10.80
1981	9.16	4.27	1.33	0.96	15.73	10.69	10.69
1982	8.90	4.06	1.24	0.69	14.89	10.73	10.73
1983	8.95	3.85	1.29	0.68	14.78	10.73	10.73
1984	9.29	4.20	1.38	0.56	15.44	11.09	11.09
1985	9.42	4.07	1.34	0.48	15.31	11.14	11.14
1986	9.93	4.09	1.37	0.64	16.02	10.85	10.85
1987	10.17	4.21	1.40	0.55	16.33	10.58	10.58
1988	10.43	4.36	1.41	0.69	16.89	10.45	10.45
1989	10.59	4.25	1.39	0.75	16.97	9.82	9.82
1990	10.57	4.30	1.23	0.57	16.67	9.60	9.60
1991	10.38	4.22	1.21	0.53	16.33	9.79	9.79
1992	10.67	4.53	1.20	0.44	16.84	9.67	9.67
1993	10.84	4.44	1.18	0.49	16.96	9.35	9.35
1994	11.14	4.67	1.17	0.47	17.44	9.16	9.16
1995	11.40	4.59	1.13	0.33	17.46	9.10	9.10
1996	11.65	4.83	1.21	0.36	18.05	9.16	9.16
1997	11.83	4.95	1.16	0.41	18.35	9.12	9.12
1998	12.03	4.84	1.08	0.58	18.53	8.90	8.90
1999	12.58	5.03	1.18	0.53	19.33	8.62	8.62
2000	12.73	4.92	1.28	0.51	19.44	8.70	8.70
2001	12.61	4.89	1.25	0.56	19.32	8.57	8.57
2002	12.88	4.93	1.19	0.43	19.43	8.58	8.58
2003	12.96	4.90	1.28	0.53	19.67	8.37	8.37
2004	13.16	5.23	1.26	0.54	20.18	8.30	8.30
2005	13.38	5.10	1.20	0.55	20.22	7.88	7.88
2006	13.49	5.19	1.03	0.29	19.99	7.83	7.83
2007	14.23	5.05	1.04	0.29	20.62	7.84	7.84
2008	13.89	4.53	1.06	0.21	19.69	8.52	7.74
2009	13.61	4.250	1.04	0.180	19.08	8.99	8.03
2010	13.74	4.370	1.00	0.200	19.31	9.11	8.02
2011	13.88	4.500	1.00	0.200	19.58	9.41	8.24
2012	14.03	4.770	0.99	0.190	19.98	9.49	8.28
2013	14.20	4.910	0.97	0.190	20.27	9.75	8.45
2014	14.25	4.950	0.96	0.190	20.35	9.89	8.52
2015	14.31	4.990	0.95	0.190	20.44	10.00	8.58
2016	14.39	5.010	0.94	0.190	20.53	10.07	8.57
2017	14.45	5.010	0.93	0.190	20.58	10.23	8.67
2018	14.50	4.980	0.92	0.190	20.59	10.39	8.79
2019	14.54	4.970	0.92	0.190	20.62	10.60	8.96
2020	14.61	4.960	0.91	0.200	20.68	10.77	9.06
2021	14.64	4.980	0.90	0.200	20.72	10.89	9.10
2022	14.71	4.980	0.90	0.200	20.79	11.02	9.05
2023	14.79	4.970	0.89	0.200	20.85	10.96	8.98
2024	14.87	4.960	0.89	0.200	20.92	11.00	8.96
2025	14.96	4.940	0.88	0.200	20.98	11.15	9.04
2026	15.04	4.910	0.88	0.200	21.03	11.30	9.10
2027	15.13	4.880	0.87	0.200	21.08	11.48	9.18
2028	15.23	4.860	0.87	0.200	21.16	11.53	9.15
2029	15.34	4.840	0.86	0.200	21.24	11.63	9.17
2030	15.47	4.830	0.86	0.200	21.36	11.70	9.15
2031	15.60	4.830	0.86	0.200	21.49	11.81	9.12
2032	15.72	4.820	0.86	0.200	21.60	11.94	9.15
2033	15.84	4.810	0.85	0.200	21.70	12.20	9.30
2034	15.97	4.790	0.85	0.210	21.82	12.30	9.28
2035	16.10	4.770	0.85	0.210	21.93	12.34	9.23
Sources: 1973-2009 from Davis, S.C, Diegel, S. W., and Boundy, R.G., Transportation Energy Data Book: Edition 30, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 2011. 2010-2035 from EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2011, Energy Information Administration, DOE/EIA-0383(2011), U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC, 2011.

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U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption, 1970-2035 Image Notes:

Supporting Information

U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption, 1970-2035

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Notes: