Fact #894: October 12, 2015 U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption for All Sectors, 1973 through 2040

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Before 1989 the U.S. produced enough petroleum to meet the needs of the transportation sector, but was still short of meeting the petroleum needs of all sectors, including industrial, residential and commercial, and electric utilities. In 1973 the gap between what the U.S. produced and what was consumed was 5.6 million barrels per day. Due to 1) increased petroleum production and 2) increased efficiencies across several sectors limiting demand, the gap is expected to be only about 4.5 million barrels per day by 2040 if petroleum and non-petroleum sources (ethanol, biomass, etc.) are included.

U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption by Sector, 1973-2040

Graphic showing U.S. Petroleum and Consumption by Sector from 1973 to 2040.

Notes:
The U.S. production has two lines after 2014. The solid line is conventional sources of petroleum, including crude oil, natural gas plant liquids, and refinery gains. The dashed line adds in other non-petroleum sources, including ethanol, biomass, liquids from coal, other blending components, other hydrocarbons, and ethers.
The data change from historical to projected values between 2013 and 2014 is denoted by a gray vertical line.
The sharp increase in transportation values between 2006 and 2007 is the result of the FHWA’s methodology change for heavy trucks.

Fact #894 Dataset

Supporting Information

U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption by Sector, 1973-2040
(Million barrels per day)
Year	Transportation	Industrial	Residential and Commercial	Electric Utilities	Total	U.S Production without other inputs	U.S. Production with other inputs (dotted line 2015-on)
1973	8.78	4.48	2.23	1.54	17.03	11.40
1974	8.43	4.27	2.16	1.47	16.31	10.94
1975	8.55	4.02	2.00	1.38	15.95	10.47
1976	9.06	4.45	2.10	1.52	17.14	10.21
1977	9.36	4.83	2.11	1.71	18.01	10.39
1978	9.80	4.85	2.14	1.74	18.53	10.77
1979	9.60	5.33	1.78	1.43	18.14	10.66
1980	9.26	4.87	1.44	1.16	16.73	10.77
1981	9.16	4.24	1.44	0.96	15.80	10.69
1982	8.90	3.99	1.47	0.68	15.03	10.73
1983	8.95	3.80	1.49	0.67	14.91	10.73
1984	9.29	4.13	1.59	0.55	15.57	11.06
1985	9.42	4.03	1.47	0.47	15.40	11.14
1986	9.93	4.06	1.46	0.63	16.08	10.85
1987	10.17	4.20	1.45	0.55	16.36	10.58
1988	10.43	4.32	1.51	0.68	16.94	10.42
1989	10.59	4.30	1.43	0.74	17.06	9.82
1990	10.55	4.16	1.36	0.57	16.64	9.60
1991	10.37	4.42	1.28	0.51	16.59	9.79
1992	10.66	4.42	1.33	0.43	16.84	9.64
1993	10.84	4.55	1.33	0.49	17.21	9.35
1994	11.14	4.56	1.34	0.47	17.51	9.16
1995	11.40	4.73	1.30	0.33	17.75	9.10
1996	11.65	4.86	1.40	0.35	18.27	9.13
1997	11.83	4.83	1.43	0.41	18.49	9.12
1998	11.99	4.83	1.19	0.57	18.58	8.90
1999	12.58	5.01	1.34	0.53	19.46	8.62
2000	12.74	4.91	1.34	0.51	19.49	8.68
2001	12.60	4.89	1.35	0.56	19.40	8.57
2002	12.89	4.93	1.28	0.43	19.53	8.58
2003	12.98	4.95	1.29	0.54	19.76	8.34
2004	13.21	5.23	1.37	0.54	20.34	8.30
2005	13.40	5.11	1.31	0.55	20.37	7.89
2006	13.49	5.25	1.03	0.29	20.07	7.82
2007	14.20	5.12	1.09	0.30	20.70	7.86
2008	13.91	4.63	1.21	0.21	19.96	7.78
2009	13.22	4.37	1.09	0.18	18.85	8.24
2010	13.26	4.62	1.06	0.18	19.11	8.62
2011	12.98	4.62	0.98	0.14	18.71	8.94
2012	12.78	4.70	0.78	0.10	18.36	9.96
2013	12.74	4.86	0.83	0.12	18.55	11.15
2014	13.88	4.610	0.90	0.128	19.51	12.77
2015	14.02	4.699	0.83	0.114	19.66	13.60	14.81
2016	14.14	4.845	0.79	0.112	19.89	14.14	15.35
2017	14.11	5.010	0.78	0.101	20.01	14.81	16.09
2018	14.09	5.218	0.77	0.102	20.18	15.25	16.54
2019	14.06	5.381	0.76	0.078	20.28	15.54	16.84
2020	14.02	5.501	0.76	0.078	20.36	15.62	16.92
2021	13.96	5.580	0.75	0.078	20.36	15.61	16.90
2022	13.90	5.679	0.74	0.079	20.39	15.58	16.89
2023	13.83	5.774	0.73	0.079	20.41	15.52	16.82
2024	13.76	5.850	0.72	0.080	20.41	15.54	16.84
2025	13.68	5.905	0.71	0.079	20.38	15.44	16.74
2026	13.61	5.943	0.70	0.078	20.34	15.26	16.57
2027	13.56	5.976	0.70	0.078	20.31	15.25	16.56
2028	13.52	6.010	0.69	0.077	20.29	15.30	16.61
2029	13.49	6.028	0.68	0.078	20.27	15.25	16.56
2030	13.46	6.040	0.67	0.078	20.26	15.21	16.52
2031	13.45	6.041	0.67	0.077	20.23	14.91	16.24
2032	13.43	6.031	0.66	0.077	20.19	14.68	16.01
2033	13.43	6.030	0.65	0.077	20.19	14.55	15.88
2034	13.44	6.034	0.64	0.077	20.20	14.49	15.82
2035	13.46	6.039	0.64	0.077	20.22	14.50	15.84
2036	13.49	6.046	0.63	0.078	20.25	14.48	15.84
2037	13.52	6.076	0.63	0.078	20.30	14.49	15.84
2038	13.56	6.102	0.62	0.079	20.36	14.51	15.88
2039	13.60	6.098	0.62	0.079	20.39	14.44	15.83
2040	13.64	6.088	0.61	0.079	20.41	14.48	15.89
Source: Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Transportation Energy Data Book: Edition 34, Figure 1.7, September 2015. Projections are from the Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2015, April 2015.

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